Market Research

ACREcon Keynote Presentation

Last week I traveled to Birmingham to deliver the keynote address at ACREcon, the annual conference hosted by the Alabama Center for Real Estate (ACRE).  ACRE is a well-organized, statewide commercial real estate group and I was honored to be asked to speak at their event.  I was very impressed with the meeting and the record-setting attendance.

During the presentation, I introduced myself and Stirling Properties to many in the ACREcon audience who weren’t familiar with us and discussed our decision to open an office in Mobile – our first in Alabama.  Emphasizing the importance of regionalism, I also discussed the rise of the Gulf Coast into the National spotlight and the significant economic drivers that are shaping the region’s future growth.

Click the image below to view the presentation slides from my keynote.

ACREcon 2014 Keynote

New Orleans Retail is on the Rise

Mark Twain once quipped “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme”.  The Crescent City has been America’s boomtown before, but this time, something is different.  Aided by tech, medical and digital media job growth, infrastructure improvements, rising tourism and political reform, the City has become a magnet for young educated professionals, and retailers have noticed.

New Orleans Rankings

Selected New Orleans Rankings

In recent history, aging infrastructure and crime crippled economic development.  While Hurricanes Katrina and Rita were physically devastating to the region, they also uncovered social and political issues that needed to be rectified.  Federal funds flowed to improve infrastructure.  With that came oversight and political reform.  The private sector rolled up their sleeves and made bold choices to invest in the city and its unique culture.

Together this created a higher demand than the current supply of Retail can absorb.  As reported by The New Orleans Business Alliance, the city currently is losing $1.9 Billion in retail sales annually to neighboring parishes where traditional retail development has flourished. While some sections of the city still are recovering, the city’s core has experienced a great demand for development and re-development.  “New Orleans was once considered a market that offered the worst to retailers.  Today retailer activity and interest are at an all-time high,” stated Townsend Underhill, Senior Vice President at Stirling Properties.

Luxury retail is on the rise.  The Shops at Canal Place, anchored by Saks Fifth Avenue, has experienced double digit sales growth in each of the last four years.  Recent openings include J. Crew, Allen Edmonds, Michael Kors and Lululemon, with Tiffany and Company slated to open in November.  “It is clear that New Orleans is experiencing nothing short of a Renaissance,” stated Brandon Berger of The Berger Company, owner of Canal Place.  “Canal Place is well positioned as the only Luxury Mall between Houston and Atlanta.  The higher end the item the retailer carries, the higher their sales volume.”  In addition H&M will open a 32,000 square-foot French Quarter location in late October, their first in the United States outside of New York and Boston to offer home goods as well as soft goods.

The Outlet Collection at the Riverwalk - Rendering

The Outlet Collection at the Riverwalk – Rendering

The Outlet Collection at the Riverwalk, an upscale outlet center downtown near the French Quarter and Warehouse district, is scheduled to open in 2014.  At 250,000 square feet, it will serve both locals and tourists and is billed as the only Outlet Center in a downtown setting in the U.S.  Mark Bulmash, Vice President of Development at the Howard Hughes Corporation and Developer at Riverwalk added, “A few years ago, retailers would ask the question, ‘Why New Orleans?’  Today the question is, ‘Why aren’t we in New Orleans?’”

South Market District - Rendering

South Market District – Rendering

The Warehouse District in the CBD has transformed from blighted space into a vibrant neighborhood.  The 40,000 square-foot Rouses Grocery opened in 2011 and was influential in making the area a true neighborhood. While condominium conversion is still underway, new construction mixed-use projects are also taking shape. The South Market District by the Domain Companies is under construction.  Phase I will open late 2014 featuring 209 residential units and 22,000 square feet of Retail.  Once complete, the project will include over 600 residential units and 170,000 square feet of retail located along the streetcar line and walkable from downtown Class A office buildings and the Superdome.

Mid-City Market

Mid-City Market

The 107,000 square foot Mid-City Market developed by Stirling Properties opened in July.  Anchored by Winn Dixie, the site marks the entry into New Orleans for some notable restaurant chains like Panera Bread, Pei Wei, and Five Guys, and filled the void for much needed goods and services in the Mid-City neighborhood.  Whole Foods will enter Mid-City as well with a store currently under construction on Broad Street that will mark their third location in the New Orleans metro.

Big box stores and Jr. Anchors that traditionally were kept out of the city for lack of developable land have found a limited opportunity to penetrate the market.  Costco has completed its first Louisiana location with a 148,000 square foot store located near the population center.  Wal-Mart has two Supercenters under construction in Gentilly and New Orleans East, 110,000 square feet and 180,000 square feet respectively.  Magnolia Marketplace, scheduled to break ground in January 2014, will be the only true Power Center on the Eastbank of New Orleans and will offer Jr. Anchors the chance to gain access to the local market for the first time.

Development projects in virtually all areas of the city will allow retailers to penetrate a market previously thought impenetrable.  Additional growth of mixed-use and street retail projects will offer more opportunities for the growing retail sector and will cater to the urban population and tourists.  From luxury to discount, retail is hot in New Orleans and investors, lenders, developers and retailers are working hard to gain a presence.

This article was submitted to Southeast Real Estate Business magazine.  An edited version appeared in the October 2013, Volume 14, Issue 7 print edition.

The Strength of the Gulf South

I wanted to share a PowerPoint I recently presented at a meeting highlighting the strength of the Gulf South. In recent years, the Gulf South has been gaining the Nation’s attention and rising to the top of many National Rankings. Activity in the Gulf South is driven by achievements in a variety of areas, must notably Energy/Oil & Gas Production, Chemical Processing, Aerospace, IT & Digital Media, the New Orleans BioDistrict and Coastal Restoration.

When you look at the entire picture of what is happening down here – from the LNG facilities in Lake Charles, Airbus in Mobile, the IBM announcement in Baton Rouge, the medical corridor in New Orleans, and the activity in the IT sector and coastal restoration – it is an amazing picture.  Truly.  Nowhere else in the country is this level of activity occurring.

Click the image below to view the presentation.

The Gulf South

Louisiana Rising in the National Rankings

Shreveport, LouisianaICSCAs the International Council of Shopping Center’s (ICSC’s) State Director for Louisiana, I recently contributed an article for the July 2013 edition of our Quarterly Membership Newsletter that I’d like to share:

As the returning ICSC State Director, I am extremely excited about the progress that we are making in the State of Louisiana on a number of fronts.  Most importantly for our retail industry the economic and business growth trends continue to show a phenomenal trend for the region.  Over the last 5 years, Louisiana has risen significantly across numerous national rankings – and the accolades keep coming!  It’s hard to keep up with all the good news, which is a great problem to have.  Highlighted below for quick reference are some of the rankings earned by the State of Louisiana over just the last quarter – very impressive for a state that was traditionally on the bottom of every list.

Louisiana Rankings – 2nd Quarter 2013:

  • Top 10 Most Entrepreneurial States
    CNN Money, June 2013
  • #1 State with the Most Engaged Employees (most involved & enthusiastic)
    Gallup, June 2013
  • 2nd in the U.S. for construction job growth from May 2012 to May 2013
    Associated General Contractors of America, June 2013
  • 11th among “Best/Worst States for Business” based on CEO survey (most improved in the U.S. over the past 4 years, up 33 spots since 2009)
    Chief Executives, May 2013
  • Top 5 State in the U.S. for worldwide exporting in 1st Quarter 2013
    World Trade Center of New Orleans, May 2013
  • #2 Best States for Retirement
    Bankrate.com, May 2013
  • #7 among “Top Ten Competitive States of 2012”
    Site Selection, May 2013
  • 2nd Least Stressed State in 2012
    Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index, April 2013
  • 1 of 6 states experiencing the largest increases in entrepreneurial activity rates over the past decade; 9th for 2010 to 2012 Entrepreneurial Activity with a rate of 400 per 100,000 residents (U.S. 300 per 100,000)
    Kauffman Index, April 2013
  • 2nd fastest revenue growth (up 170%) and 4th fastest growth in number (up 84%) of women-owned firms from 1997 to 2013
    The State of Women-Owned Businesses, March 2013
  • 12th in the U.S. for per-capita economic development project wins
    Site Selection’s 2012 Governor’s Cup, March 2013
  • Record-breaking $63.2 billion in merchandise exports in 2012, growing 15% over 2011
    International Trade Administration, March 2013
  • 3rd Best State for Banking
    MoneyRates.com, March 2013

Louisiana’s cities and metro areas are also commanding positive national attention.  Summarized below are some of the rankings earned over just the last quarter in these areas.

Notable Metro/City Rankings – 2nd Quarter 2013:

  • Lafayette #1 overall among 100 Leading Locations in the U.S. for economic & job growth; #1 for Economic Strength, Year-Over-Year Growth & “Recession-Busting” factors among Top 25 Mid-Size Cities
    Area Development’s Leading Locations for 2013, Summer 2013
  • New Orleans and Shreveport among Top 20 Fastest Growing Cities in U.S.
    NerdWallet.com, June 2013
  • New Orleans is America’s Fastest Growing City
    Forbes, June 2013
  • New Orleans #3 among “Big Cities Winning the Battle for Information Jobs”
    Forbes, May 2013
  • Benteler Steel/Tube in Shreveport among “Top North American Deals of 2012” – 2nd largest investment in the U.S. during 2012
    Site Selection, May 2013
  • New Orleans #2 “Boomtown” in America, based on population and GDP growth
    Bloomberg, April 2013
  • Baton Rouge and Alexandria among “25 Best Places to Retire” out of 400 total U.S. cities
    Forbes, March 2013
  • New Orleans & Baton Rouge among Top 30 Best Cities for Young Entrepreneurs 2013
    Under30CEO, March 2013

Louisiana has fared relatively well during the Great Recession and the national rankings show it.  National and trade publications are taking notice and businesses are too.  Louisiana is well positioned for a great future.

Louisiana Tops Nation for Most Engaged Workers

Gallup

There is not only a very interesting, but very important article about a Gallup study which was recently published.

Louisiana ranked #1 in the nation for states whose workers were most engaged in their jobs – meaning they are inolved in and enthusiastic about their work.  Not only is this a feel-good story, but it also has significant underlying implications for new businesses looking to locate here.  Worker satisfaction, engagement, and quality of life tied to the cost of living makes our state a very desirable place to do business.  When you add this accolade to the many others that have come out lately, we are definitely a place of the future .

From a personal point of view, I know that our team at Stirling is actively engaged and contributing at the highest levels on all fronts.

Click here to read the article.

Forbes ranks New Orleans #3 for Information Technology Jobs

In a recent Forbes article, “The Cities Winning the Battle for Information Jobs,” author and researcher Joel Kotkin ranks Greater New Orleans as #3 in the USA, behind only technology heavyweights Silicon Valley and San Francisco. In the article, he states “Perhaps the most dramatic player is third-place New Orleans-Metairie-Kenner, where information employment is up 28% since 2009”. The information sector in metro New Orleans “is very broad-based, including companies in digital effects, videogames, software development as well as a burgeoning film and television industry,” writes Kotkin. “The recent decision by General Electric to place its new technology center and its 300 new technology jobs in New Orleans is another sign of the Crescent City’s emergence as a viable information hub.” Additionally, when you consider the recent announcement of IBM in Baton Rouge, it is even more impressive for our super region in general.

Based on the employment growth in the IT sector over the long-term (2001-2012), mid-term (2007-2012) and the last two years, as well as momentum, the Top Ten Tech metros are:

  1. Silicon Valley
  2. San Francisco
  3. New Orleans
  4. Bostom
  5. Austin
  6. Atlanta
  7. San Antonia
  8. Raleigh
  9. Phoenix
  10. Nashville

You can read the entire article, including more detail on the methodology, here.

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